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Showing posts with label philip tetlock. Show all posts
Showing posts with label philip tetlock. Show all posts

Thursday, 26 March 2009

You Can’t Trust the Experts with Your Investments

Investment Experts Make You Poor

In a complex world we increasingly have to rely on experts such as lawyers, doctors and scientists to guide us. We expect them to get things right most of the time and we sue the hell out of them if they don’t. In the world of investment, though, we get something different. They get it wrong most of the time, are never held accountable and generally argue that they actually didn’t get it wrong anyway and, if they did, it wasn't their fault.

Meanwhile people listen to these “experts”, take their advice, almost hero worship them at times and mostly get poorer while they make money at our expense. Who are the smart ones in this relationship?