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Showing posts with label cognitive dissonance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cognitive dissonance. Show all posts

Monday, 15 February 2016

Investors, Still Chasing Hubcaps

Lowing and Highing

As we saw in The Proper Etiquette for Market Panics – which I wrote the last time we had some major market falls – what usually happens in a crisis is that markets fall and then exhibit volatility, as investors roam backwards and forwards in increasingly large herds while asking everyone else why it's happened and what they should do about it. Often the noise they make sounds suspiciously like cattle lowing.

Well, this happens (the volatility, not the lowing) because going down – and up – is what markets do, and if you don't understand that you shouldn't be allowed to play Monopoly, let alone invest in stocks. And asking what you should do about this after the event betrays a depressing level of incompetence and a woeful grasp of history. On the other hand a bit of cognitive dissonance can be just the trigger to for a teachable moment; the point at which a handful of people actually learn to be proper investors.

Sunday, 10 May 2009

Fairy Tales for Investors

Storytelling and Stocks

Once upon a time there was a wonderful company with a magic formula which kept on growing forever and ever. Or so we’d like to believe.

The world we live in is saturated with stories for good reason – they're the prism through which we make sense of our lives. Stories, however, aren’t necessarily real and the ones we're told about stocks are as likely to be fiction as fact. Understanding the difference is critical if investors aren’t going to spend their lives as the stockpicking equivalent of Alice in Wonderland.