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Showing posts with label attribution bias. Show all posts
Showing posts with label attribution bias. Show all posts

Monday, 13 January 2014

Brains, Bulls and Lucky Tossers

The Wile E. Coyote Moment

With the great post-Armageddon bull market party in full swing suddenly everyone's an investment genius again. Back in 2008, when stocks were languishing at lows not seen since talking movies were invented, no one wanted to know. And, as usual when the bull is running, logic is taking a quiet break and considering early retirement.

Well, logic needn't bother. At some point people are going to look down and realize that they've run over the cliff edge again. The question is not if, but when, the Wile E. Coy moment will happen.  The trouble is that bull markets get people thinking they’ve got brains when mostly what they’ve got is hope.