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Showing posts with label el farol bar problem. Show all posts
Showing posts with label el farol bar problem. Show all posts

Thursday, 28 July 2011

Perpetual Novelty, Santa Fe Style

Learnings from Science

By the late 1980's there was a growing recognition that the existing understanding of financial systems was flawed. Not only did markets not behave as the economic theories predicted but they often exhibited behaviour that didn't seem to have any pattern or cause at all.

In response to this a number of economists began looking at some of the research emerging from physics, biology and computer science in the area of complex adaptive systems and this led, in 1987, to a group of economists and scientists getting together at the Santa Fe Institute. The program of work that came out of this seminal event is still unfolding today, but suggests why academics and traders have had such different views on markets: one set lives in the real world, and the other doesn't.  Wanna hazard a guess as to which is which?